four
5,087 posts
msg #121585
- Ignore four |
9/26/2014 4:09:07 PM
https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-Quicksilver-Resources-to-Caa3--PR_309367?WT.mc_id=AM~WWFob29fRmluYW5jZTQyX1NCX1JhdGluZyBOZXdzX0FsbF9Fbmc%3d~20140926_PR_309367
Moody Downgrade - KWK - Quicksilver Resources
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shillllihs
6,044 posts
msg #121588
- Ignore shillllihs |
9/26/2014 5:40:44 PM
They want a piece of it cheap...
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121611
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified |
9/29/2014 10:33:24 AM
If SPY finishes green today, we can state that there is good demand @ 196-196.5 and expect some gains going into the week.
Although, looking couple months ahead I can't see anything except for trading in range....each good dip in XIV should be bought and sold couple days later..
p.s.
XIV added @38.87; volatility has a ton of premium priced in itself
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shillllihs
6,044 posts
msg #121613
- Ignore shillllihs |
9/29/2014 1:34:03 PM
i think it's over...
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121614
- Ignore guspenskiy13 |
9/29/2014 2:24:51 PM
what's over?
spy should bounce
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shillllihs
6,044 posts
msg #121615
- Ignore shillllihs |
9/29/2014 2:45:53 PM
I see 1-2 weeks of stagnation then a month of great recovery.
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121620
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified |
9/30/2014 10:41:31 AM
XIV positions showing loss so far as of this morning.
p.s.
sometimes i question myself why don't i just short TVIX...with ~ -90% CAGR annually...lol
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shillllihs
6,044 posts
msg #121621
- Ignore shillllihs |
9/30/2014 11:40:38 AM
Because the spike would destroy you.
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #121623
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified |
9/30/2014 6:40:36 PM
what if you just sit on cash for margin + average down? allocate like 10% of volatility portfolio?
P.S
SPY in tight range; disregarding the gap down making higher lows...tmrw might break to either side..
What do you think of GLD/GDX? Approaching pre-2014 lows.
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shillllihs
6,044 posts
msg #121625
- Ignore shillllihs
modified |
10/1/2014 12:59:04 AM
You can have a cache of margin but how much would you need? 8-1 ratio?
Works out to about 15% a year for alot of risk & very little profit.
Maybe a way to slowly buy into gapped spikes & protect with options?
I have alot of stocks appearing on my penny stock filter that have not go anywhere for 2 years. This filter works like a charm for bio tech etc. but has not for oil & metals so maybe it's a longer cycle that could be ready to pop.
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